It's just difficult to see Arizona posting more than 13 points, and they give up yards rampantly. One problem is that the Pats have a bye coming up and Belichek is likely to give them nice incentives for the training regimen if they perform to their high standards this week. Going from a prepared and potent Indy to Arizona is like a medicine ball effect, leaving Pats ready on 'D', crushing an already poor offense. Depending on a raw QB to figure out the Pats varied defensive schemes is asking a lot. Before long, we'll be talking about Dillon's prospects for 2,000 yards, IMO, and a big push could come in a game like this where 150 or so wouldn't surprise. I know it'll be hot and there is that Tillman emotion (although Pat himself would NOT have wanted undue attention), but it is not a cohesive group you're asking to take advantage, while the other team is about as cohesive and unrattlable as they come. Pats know more than most the power of homefield in the playoffs, and one of the keys is taking care of weakies on the road.
I gave 7 early as a medium.
Good luck to you on the season...